OpenAI has reportedly closed the first $11 billion of a new funding round at a $1.25 trillion valuation. According to TechCrunch, which is relaying a Bloomberg report that cites sources familiar with the matter, the round isn't finished. It is expected to close in the coming weeks and could total about $20 billion.
The headline number is big. The Verge notes it comes not long after OpenAI raised $122 billion in March at an $852 billion valuation, which would make it one of the most valuable companies in the world.
## The gap between the target and the result
The more telling detail is what OpenAI was aiming for. TechCrunch says Bloomberg reported in late September that the company wanted $30 billion. The Verge adds that it had hoped to raise at a $1.4 trillion valuation, before tech stocks dropped and the midterm results showed how far public opinion has turned against AI companies and data center projects. A $20 billion total would be about two-thirds of the original goal, at a valuation about 11% lower.
Investors are still paying up, but not as much as the company hoped a month ago. That is a more cautious market than the one OpenAI pitched in September.
## The Anthropic comparison
The timing is awkward for the whole sector. TechCrunch reports that Bloomberg also said, only hours earlier, that potential buyers of shares in Anthropic's IPO are eyeing a much lower valuation than the company targeted. Some think it could be as low as $1.1 trillion, against the roughly $2 trillion investors were said to expect about a month ago. The Verge says Anthropic filed its S-1 last week.
OpenAI, meanwhile, delayed its own plans to go public this year. TechCrunch says an IPO next year is now the expectation. The Verge recalls that Sam Altman has said OpenAI is holding off until it can make more confident claims about its models' safety, while warning that waiting too long is "kind of bad for the world."
## What to watch
Whether the round reaches $20 billion, and at what price, is the first thing to track. The second is how public markets value Anthropic when its shares start trading, since that is the nearest real price signal for frontier AI labs. Neither OpenAI's valuation nor the round's size is confirmed by the company. TechCrunch says it has asked OpenAI for comment.
— via TechCrunch